Sunday, July 31, 2016

India-China Relation beyond the NSG:Perpetual diplomacy is the order of the day

Prashant Kumar Sharma
In a bid to seek Chinese support for membership of NSG, the Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi made a fervent appeal to the Chinese President to make a “fair and objective” assessment of India’s application, before the plenary of the 48 Nations grouping that recently came to an end in Seoul, could not materialize. In response, China did a fair and objective assessment on India’s application through objecting India’s entry to the group contending that India’s entry would violate the principles of International NPT legal regime as India has not still signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.

Huge boisterous voices triggered over the India’s attempt to get the membership of the elite club known as ‘Nuclear Supplier Group (NSG)’ provided the possibilities of China blocking India’s way vehemently, and that apprehensions soon became reality as the NSG plenary held at Seoul recently concluded with no concrete outcome over India’s entry into this group despite its special session that stretched past midnight to discuss India’s application. China was observed to be taking the lead on raising objections to India’s entry. It is reported that China blocked India’s entry to the NSG not because of the political reasons, but on technical grounds. Countries like, China, Brazil and Turkey, wanted NSG to formulate a criteria through which all non-NPT member’s cases could be considered for their admission to the group.

India did not get an open support from China despite India showing its in-depth confidence in China for supporting its cause. It was expected that bilateral relation between two countries would be hampered given any NSG fallout. This sort of ambience became prevalent not only in India, but also in China. It was apparent in the fact when China’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying stated, “We do not believe that it is an issue concerning the bilateral relationship between China and India”, and sought to insulate bilateral ties with India from the headwinds emanating out of the debate over the question of India’s entry into the NSG. India seemed to be wary in its reactions over the outcome and still fully confident owing to its credentials and goodwill to get the membership in the near future.

It is well known that India and China have witnessed many vicissitudes in their relation since 1962. There are a lot of bilateral concerns that both countries need to address. The issue of resolving the border dispute is one among many. Recently, Prime Minister of India, Mr. Modi stated, “India had a number of problems with China and efforts are on to resolve them one by one through talks.” There is a widespread feeling among Indians and global communities that it is China who does not want to see a prosperous India and does not want to contribute to India’s aspiration to global power status. It often seems that China uses Pakistan as an excuse for India to create hindrances in the name of maintaining strategic balance in South Asia.

Shyam Saran, a former Foreign Secretary of India, in one of his pieces, The writing on the Great wall, has highlighted the confident and assertive Chinese strategy that China plays against India. He says, “There is a clear enhancement of China’s commitment to Pakistan, not only as its traditional proxy against India but also because it has been assigned a key role in Xi Jinping’s ambitious One Belt, One Road project. Moreover, it is to relegate India to the minor league by clubbing it together with Pakistan, thereby dismissing the de-hyphenation which the U.S. has projected at least rhetorically. This also seeks to reject the India-China hyphenation which U.S. strategy appears to promote. China considers itself as being in the same league as the U.S.”  In addition, Atul Aneja, in his article, China no barrier to India’s NSG entry, says academic, has quoted Chinese academics as saying that, “NSG is not all of China-India relations. It is not the most important issue between two countries. Entry into NSG is not a strategic and urgent need for India’s development. So be patient.”

In ancient times, the great Indian strategist, Chanakya, and Chinese strategist, Sun Tzu, in their masterpieces, Arthashastra and The Art of War respectively, have extensively discussed about how diplomacy should be carried out in various situations. Most possibly, there advices befit in the present day Indian context. Suhasini Haider, in her article, Picking up the pieces from Seoul, has quoted Chanakya, “The welfare of a state depends on an active foreign policy, and if the end can be achieved by not fighting, I would not advocate conflict.”  Moreover, Sun Tzu mentioned, “To fight and win all your battles is not supreme excellence; supreme excellence consists of breaking the enemy’s resistance without fighting.”

Hence, it would be in the mutual interests of the both countries to perpetually proceed ahead adhering to their diplomacy going beyond the NSG issues because any pause in the relations would halt the solution of all outstanding bilateral concerns that remain to be addressed. Perpetual diplomacy and optimal solution of their pressing issues will not only help the present generation but it will save the future generation from any possible catastrophe induced owing to the unresolved concern that will be a hilly burden over the people of the both countries. This hilly unresolved burden might turn into a situation like, an Alps mountain impossible to lift. Thereby, India, indeed, needs to break its neighbor’ resistance without fighting; resorting to diplomacy is the only way out and an order of the day.


Prashant Kumar Sharma is a Ph.D Research Scholar  Centre for South Asian Studies School of International Studies  Jawaharlal Nehru University  New Delhi
Courtesy: http://www.wisdomblow.com/?p=6781

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Mohammed Shahid:

Mohammed Shahid: Mohammed Shahid, one of the greatest names in Indian hockey, died on 20 July 2016 due to severe liver condition and kidney failure. 

Shahid was the part of the Indian hockey team that won the gold medal at the 1980 Moscow Olympics. He was Born in  Varanasi, Mohammed Shahid is considered one of India's best to have played hockey. He made his first appearance for India in the junior team in 1979 at the Junior World Cup in France. He made his first appearance in the senior team in 1979 in a four-nation tournament in Kuala Lumpur. He was known for his running ability, dribbling of the ball and push. 

He was awarded the Best Forward Player at the 1980 Champions Trophy in Karachi. Shahid was a member of the team that won the silver at the 1982 Asian Games and bronze at the 1986 Asian Games. Shahid captained the Indian team during 1985–1986. He was awarded Arjuna Award in 1980–1981. He was honoured with Padma Shri in 1986.

Wednesday, July 20, 2016

Mubarak Begum

Legendary singer Mubarak Begum died at her residence in Mumbai on 18 July 2016 after a prolonged illness. She was 80. She is remembered for singing scores of songs, duets and ghazals for Bollywood, mainly during the 1950s-1970s. Born at Sujangarh in Churu district of Rajasthan, Begum started her career with light music recitals in All India Radio. Her career as a playback singer began in 1949 with the Indian, Hindi-language film Aaiye. Her first recorded song for the film was Mohe Aane Lagi Angrayi, Aja Aja Balam. Mubarak Begum is known for the evergreen song "Kabhi tanhaiyon mein hamari yaad ayegi" from the 1961 movie "Hamari Yaad Aayegi". Through the 1950s and 1960s, Begum worked with the best music directors in the film industry, collaborating with S D Burman, Shankar Jaikishan and Khayyam for movies that starred screen legends like Sunil Dutt, Nargis and Rajendra Kumar. Mubarak Begum has sung a total of 178 songs for Hindi films during her career, and the total number of films where her songs have appeared is 115. 

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Media entrance Exams 2016

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Tuesday, December 29, 2015

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Sunday, July 26, 2015

Is China facing an economic meltdown?

 Dr. P Pullarao
China is India’s biggest trading partner. Though we have a huge trade deficit, India gains enormously from trade with China.  India also gets political benefits since it reduces hostility with China. In the last 20 years, India has become  the  most important  economic partner of China in  South Asia.

This is despite the fact that China has close military and strategic ties with Pakistan. China always describes its ties with Pakistan as those of an “ all-weather friend “. In fact China has invested huge sums of money in Pakistan infra-structure and Pakistan hopes that China will continue to  do so. Pakistan feels very secure that its close ally China is a great economic super-power.

However in the last 15 days, the world witnessed with horror the stock market meltdown in China.  Within 15 days, nearly 3 trillion US dollars was lost in the stock market. There has been a flight of foreign capital from China since the last year.   All this is   happening because suddenly the economic fundamentals of the Chinese economy have become suspect.  The excess capacity which China built in every sector has led to stagnation  and  economic depression.

China produced more cement between 2011 -2013 than the USA produced in the entire 20th Century. This shows the scale of how much cement China used for projects. It now looks as if this over-investment has led to a   slow-down in the Chinese economy. The stock market   meltdown would have really become catastrophic had it not been for the highly un-orthodox intervention by the Chinese government, which bought stocks and indulged in other manipulations.
Impact of Chinese slowdown on India:
India imports   much more from China than it exports. But a slowdown in China would mean that the quantum of trade with China would be negatively affected. This will have some negative impact on Indian economy. But the recent stock market meltdown did not have as big an impact on India as was expected. While one cannot predict the future, the contagion effect of a Chinese economic slowdown or stagnation might not be as serious as was originally expected.

The flight of foreign   capital from China would mean that some of that foreign capital might come to India. Foreign MNCs will also try to relocate some of their plants to India to hedge their bets on China. Already, the manufacturing giant Foxxconn is setting up many plants in India.  So a slowdown in China might be a mixed impact on India.

The slowdown in the Chinese economy also means that China might not invest huge amounts in Pakistan and other countries.  There will be a slowdown in China giving away money to various countries.  Pakistan would feel very severely the economic slowdown in China. Its all-weather friend will be less rich and less generous.

The slowdown of the Chinese economy might also mean that commodities will become lower priced. This is good for India since India imports most of its oil and metals.  To what extent a Chinese economic slowdown will harm India is difficult to predict. The contagion effect of the Chinese   economic slowdown cannot be predicted. It also depends on how the European economies are doing and what is happening in the USA.

The Indian economy is not dependent on one country.  If the European economies are doing modestly well and the US economy also continues to pick up, then a Chinese slowdown will not be that harmful. But if all major economies suffer slowdowns, then definitely India will be negatively affected.

However from a strategic point of view, a slowdown in the Chinese economy maybe good for India.   China will become a little more realistic in is territorial ambitions and might not want to pick fights with every neighbor.

One can however say that continued slowdown of the Chinese economy will harm India since we have enormous trade with China. It is better that a military rival is doing well economically than poorly.  There is a greater degree of predictability when countries do well. We need predictable relations with China.


Dr P Pulla Rao is a Socio-political and Economic analyst

Courstey: http://www.wisdomblow.com/?p=6192

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Wednesday, July 8, 2015

Coaching For Media Entrance 2016



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